Dollar Index, USDJPY & USDINR Technical Analysis

DOLLAR INDEX

The dollar index completed its first impulse wave since the bottom in Sept and at the wave IV high of the previous decline. So we are dipping in wave II down and should find support at 93 or 92.60 after which wave III up may start.

USDJPY

USDJPY completed a 5 wave advance and is pulling back in a minor wave ii. 38.2% near 111.20 is a normal pullback. 110.50 and 109.70 are the next two important retracements.

USDINR

USDINR – 3 wave correction complete in a channel the next move should be higher. Wave v up should be next and may either test the wave iii high at 65.90 or stretch as far as 66.45 before it is complete.

 

Adam Smith Associates offers trade & commodity finance related services & solutions to its domestic and international clients. Views expressed in this article are purely of the author – Mr Rohit Srivastava – a leading technical analyst. Visit www.adamsmith.tv for services offered by Adam Smith Associates Pvt Ltd

 

EURO, EURINR and USDINR Currency Technical Analysis

EURO

The Euro completed wave 3 up from the Jan 2017 bottom. Draw a trendline of the highs and project a reverse channel down for wave 4 potential. Wave 4 goes either to the wave 4 of lower degree near 1.166 or the lower end of the channel at 1.147 and rising. It can take up to a month to develop. Wave 4 can also be a time consuming triangle that does not go down as much but in a range till it touches the lower channel line that is rising.

EURINR

EURINR – Against my earlier count that wave 5 was complete it probably is doing that now. Prices have moved up in a channel and we maybe due for the first serious set back for the EURINR since it started the move up. This 5 wave rise should be wave 1 of a long term bull market and the coming correction wave 2 down. 23.6% retracement at 75 and 38.2% at 73.7 are the first two support levels to watch.

USDINR

USDINR retraced 61.8% in minor wave ii down at 63.85 and is finding support there. Holding this wave iii=i points to 64.60 next on the way up in what should develop as an impulse.

Adam Smith Associates offers trade & commodity finance related services & solutions to its domestic and international clients. Views expressed in this article are purely of the author – Mr Rohit Srivastava – a leading technical analyst. Visit www.adamsmith.tv for services offered by Adam Smith Associates Pvt Ltd